Wednesday, September 6, 2017

When Labour Gets In

Jacinda Ardern Becomes Labour’s Sixth Leader in Nine Years


The question is what do investors do in the face of impending doom when the Labour Party stumbles across the line to win the 2017 election. 

Well they've started it already.

They have stopped buying Auckland International Airport Ltd [AIA.NZX] its moving backwards with a DIV coming,

Auckland Airport growth is bound to stall under a Labour Govt.

Labour's stated aim is to at least halve immigration and I think it will go completely the other way within 2 years - people will not want to stay.

The other thing Labour is going to introduce, a $25 dollar new tax for travelers to this country is going to have a major impact on tourists.

This will clearly impact further on Auckland Airport, it clearly has already.

Uncertainty certainly plays a part in it, there's no doubt about that but reality plays a big part as well and Labour's focus of their extra spending is on the unproductive parts of the economy. That has been the way of the Labour Govt's from year one.

But you don't get economic growth from putting taxpayer money into things like "higher wages for everyone" it is simply a blight on the taxpayer and business as a whole.

You've got to be focused on what you as an individual can bring to the table rather than Labour's view that whats on the table is mine and that extending the table through extra taxes and more Govt borrowing is the way to go.

Its not.

You've got to wonder about those companies that have got a high component of transport costs, Like Freightways and Fletcher Building. 

These companies have come off recent highs and they are nervous about what will happen when Labour gets into power.

Every company on the NZX  is effected by the probable change of Govt.

I'm not worried about my investments. I will take the time to look at each company in the Share Investor Portfolio and buy more when they get cheap enough.

That's the thing with long-term investing in shares and changes in Govt. You make your serious money in times of gloom and (like we will be heading to under a Labour Govt) and make even more in times of boom (like we are just coming off now - under National).

Either way I'm not disturbed.



AIA @ Share Investor

Auckland Airport: Look Before You Leap
Auckland Airport: Its a Buy
AIA: To Buy Now Or Not To ?
Share Investor Q & A: Auckland Airport's Simon Moutter



Freightways @ Share Investor 

Share Investor's Total Returns: Freightways Ltd 
Share Price Alert: Freightways Ltd 3 
Share Price Alert: Freightways Ltd 2 



Fletcher Building @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Fletcher Building Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Fletcher Building Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Fletcher Building Ltd 2





c Share Investor 2017









Monday, September 4, 2017

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: Where is it Going?



Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd [FPH.NZX] is starting to look a wee bit expensive. 

Granted it does have the potential to be the largest stock on the index if it keeps going - its about 3 or 4th at present - but it will be headed for a breakdown if it disappoints this November.

Like I said in a previous post the market seems to have largely discounted legal problems so the reason for the recent share price increase seems to be put down to one or two major reasons.

The first is institutional buying. There appeared to be a sizable chunk transacted last Fri Sept 1. Almost 1 million shares. Again a sizable chunk of well over 2m shares traded in June by Northcape Capital to take their stake in FPH to 5.1%.

The second is insiders - management, directors etc - taking up stakes or taking up options or indeed disposing of same.

There is a lot of activity surrounding share trades.

There appears that a 5% rise over the last 7 days is something this share hasn't seen especially given the record high share price.

It seems the momentum is towards the upside at least for the time being - see the explanation for this in paragraph 2.

I truly don't know where we are heading with this stock, it is way too pricey and I wouldn't be buying at current prices.

All I  can think is that insiders are getting together to get in a good position that a possible buy could be on the cards.

They would have to offer me north of 50 bucks a share to get rid of this one right now and it would get more expensive as time wore on.

I don't really want to sell.




Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd:  Should I Buy Now?

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: The Time to Buy
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks
Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
I'm Buying: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's Total Returns: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare & the US Dollar
Mondrian Investment Partners take stake in Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Analysis - Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Schroder Investment Management takes big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stake
Long VS Short: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare trades a curious tale

Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance

Discuss FPH @ Share Investor Forum
Download FPH Company Reports






Share Investor 2017



Thursday, August 31, 2017

Sky City Entertainment: Starting to Look Cheap




Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX]is starting to look cheap again.

You don't have to be Einstein to figure out that there's at least 20% in it.

It recently reported a 2017 full year profit.

Combine this with a probable big pay off in 2019/2020 when all their various developments come on-stream and you have a possibility of making more than that if you hold until then.

Until then you get all sorts of nervous Nellie's getting in and out of this company, when they actually go down and visit - like the rest of Auckland it is a construction zone.

There is crap everywhere.

And like the rest of Auckland it is a mere blip in the road until the building is finished.

Until that time there is going to be disruption - not in the new sense of this word but the old meaning of disruption.

Disruption is only going to be temporary.

Then we can truly see the magnificence of Auckland growing and the casino in Auckland growing as well.

It has been 20 years since the casino opened and more than half a million more Aucklanders living here.

The future looks bright.

Possibly you can buy this company cheaper than it is today but anytime between now and Feb 2018 is a good time to buy.

I can see some of those nervous Nellie's starting to struggle.

Give them a hand, offer them $3.50!!







Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: The Americas Cup
Share Investor's 2016 Stock Picks
Sky City gets the 2nd deal
Sky City Expansion: Adelaide Spreads on the Riverbank
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council
Sky City Gaming: Morningstars look at Sky City's gaming
Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports




Share Investor 2017






Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Auckland Airport: Look Before You Leap

AIA 30 day price history


Auckland International Airport Ltd [AIA.NZX] has a dividend coming of 10.5c fully imputed at the company tax rate of 28% and due to those on the register at close of biz on the 6th October 2017.

Can you get this dividend and protect your capital base at the same time.

No, is the answer but you stand an almost unique chance of getting the Div plus capital gains anyway.

That has been my experience over the years of trading this baby in and out of lulls, bulls, bears any any other term you care to mention.

I currently own 2000 shares based on just this and have done for 3 reporting periods.

So if your game and really want to have a go get in now. At sub 7 bucks this one has 7 plus bucks written all over it before the Oct 6 cut off.

Weather you sell into the share price increase or stay around and collect the Div you cant lose either way.

I, if I had money, I would buy today.



AIA @ Share Investor


Auckland Airport: Its a Buy
AIA: To Buy Now Or Not To ?
Share Investor Q & A: Auckland Airport's Simon Moutter
Auckland Council look set for a Auckland Airport Takeover
Auckland City Council new AIA Policy Doc
Make me an offer I cant refuse: Auckland International Airport Ltd
Long Term View: Auckland International Airport
VIDEO - Simon Moutter on Australian Airport Purchase
Auckland Airport Capital Raising a fair call
Auckland International Airport lands Australian Ports
What Infratil sale of Auckland Airport stake means
Is another Auckland Airport bid likely under a business friendly Government?
Latest Airport coverage
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Queenstown Airport Buyout @ Share Investor

Queenstown Airport: Queenstown Airport Update
Auckland Airport CEO on Queenstown Airport Fracas
Queenstown Airport: Court Case looks set to Drag
Queenstown Airport: Loud Voices & Loyalty
Queenstown Airport: Air New Zealand's Crocodile Tears
Queenstown Airport: AIA purchase good Long-Term but will cost shareholders Short-Term

Discuss this Stock @ Share Investor Forum - Register free 
Download AIA Company Reports





Share Investor 2017